Launch calendar

Should I wait?

The question right before paying. This is every watch we rank with its launch month, whether a successor has arrived, and how often its line is refreshed — so you can see which are now the bargain, which are due, and which are safe. Reviewed 2026-09-15; the future half is teasers, leaks and patterns, and each entry says which.

Now the bargain: replaced, still good

A successor is on sale, so these are the previous generation. Nothing about them got worse on the day the new one appeared; only the price should have. Each line says what the successor actually changed, so you can decide whether it is something you would use.

  • Forerunner 55Garmin · June 2021

    Garmin Forerunner 70, May 2026 — ranked here

    AMOLED screen, the newer heart-rate sensor and the full training suite at the entry price; MIP leaves the Forerunner line.

  • Apex 2 ProCoros · October 2022

    Coros Apex 4, October 2025 — ranked here

    Two sizes, much faster processor, longer battery and a new sensor; Coros skipped the “3”.

  • Forerunner 265Garmin · March 2023

    Garmin Forerunner 570, May 2025 — ranked here

    Brighter screen, speaker and mic, a larger 47 mm option; battery slightly shorter.

  • Forerunner 965Garmin · March 2023

    Garmin Forerunner 970, May 2025 — ranked here

    Sapphire lens, flashlight, ECG, speaker and mic; multiband battery slightly longer, GPS-only shorter.

  • VerticalSuunto · May 2023

    Suunto Vertical 2, September 2025 — ranked here

    New sensors, an LED flashlight and offline navigation; same rugged, long-battery brief.

  • Cheetah ProAmazfit · June 2023

    Amazfit Cheetah 2 Pro, April 2026 — ranked here

    Titanium and sapphire, a 1.32-inch AMOLED and a marathon-training focus, at a higher price.

  • Pace 3Coros · August 2023

    Coros Pace 4, November 2025 — ranked here

    AMOLED screen and a faster chip at the same price tier; the Pace 3 stays on sale as the cheaper MIP option.

  • RaceSuunto · October 2023

    Suunto Race 2, September 2025 — ranked here

    Thinner titanium case, new sensor, longer battery and offline maps; the original Race drops in price.

  • Forerunner 165Garmin · February 2024

    Garmin Forerunner 170, May 2026 — ranked here

    Training Readiness, HRV Status and load on the mid-price model; still no multiband GPS.

  • Galaxy Watch UltraSamsung · July 2024

    Samsung Galaxy Watch Ultra 2, July 2026 — ranked here

    Announced at Unpacked on 22 July 2026; the original Ultra had a minor refresh in July 2025 and is now the previous generation.

  • Fenix 8 AMOLED 47 mmGarmin · August 2024

    Garmin Fenix 9, August 2026 — ranked here

    New generation announced 25 August 2026: titanium options, more storage and new software; the Fenix 8 becomes the discounted one.

  • Fenix 8 Solar 47 mmGarmin · August 2024

    Garmin Fenix 9 Pro, August 2026 — ranked here

    Announced alongside the Fenix 9 on 25 August 2026 as the line’s upper tier; the Fenix 8 Solar is now the previous generation.

  • RunSuunto · May 2025

    Suunto Run 2, September 2026 — ranked here

    Maps, a lighter 35 g case and a larger storage option, announced 8 September 2026; sixteen months after the first.

  • Watch Ultra 3Apple · September 2025

    Apple Watch Ultra 4, September 2026 — ranked here

    Announced 9 September 2026: new S11 chip, a much bigger battery and longer workout tracking in the same 49 mm case.

  • Watch Series 11Apple · September 2025

    Apple Watch Series 12, September 2026 — ranked here

    Announced 9 September 2026: the first real chip upgrade in three generations, faster charging and longer workout battery.

Due a refresh: worth waiting on

Past the line’s usual gap, or with a teaser or a credible leak behind it. If you can wait a season, these are the ones to wait on — and if you cannot, expect a price drop soon after you buy.

  • Pacer ProPolar · April 2022 · 4 y 5 mo

    Expected unannounced

    Nothing announced. At four and a half years it is the oldest watch in the catalogue by a year; Polar’s 2026 launches went to the Vantage V4 and a lifestyle watch instead.

  • Grit X2 ProPolar · March 2024 · 2 y 6 mo

    At 30 months it is past this line’s usual 29-month refresh. Nothing is announced, but a replacement would not be a surprise.

  • Vertix 2SCoros · April 2024 · 2 y 5 mo

    Expected unannounced

    Coros teased a new Vertix in April 2026; no name or date has been announced. The Vertix 2 to 2S gap was 33 months.

  • Race SSuunto · June 2024 · 2 y 3 mo

    Expected unannounced

    The Race 2 arrived in September 2025 without a smaller S; a Race S2 has been asked for but not announced. A Race 3 series has leaked.

  • Enduro 3Garmin · August 2024 · 2 y 1 mo

    Expected late 2026

    An Enduro 4 has appeared in Garmin’s app code and was leaked in June 2026, but was not at the Fenix 9 launch. The Enduro 2 and 3 both arrived in August, two years apart.

  • T-Rex 3Amazfit · September 2024 · 2 y

    Expected 2026

    Amazfit says more T-Rex models are coming in 2026; the T-Rex Ultra 2 (February 2026) sits above this one rather than replacing it.

  • Forerunner 570Garmin · May 2025 · 1 y 4 mo

    Expected 2027

    A Pro or LTE variant is rumoured for the 5x0 line; nothing announced. The line itself is not due until 2027 on its two-year pattern.

  • Forerunner 970Garmin · May 2025 · 1 y 4 mo

    Expected 2027

    A Forerunner 975 (Pro / LTE) has been rumoured as a variant, not a replacement. The line is not due until 2027 on its pattern.

Later in its life: fine to buy, a successor within a year

  • Pace ProCoros · October 2024 · 1 y 11 mo

    At 23 months it is in the second half of a typical 27-month generation. Fine to buy; expect a successor within a year, and a price drop when it comes.

Safe to buy now

Inside the normal life of a generation, with nothing announced or credibly leaked.

  • Vantage M3Polar · October 2024 · 1 y 11 mo

    Launched 23 months ago on a line that usually runs about 42 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Instinct 3 AMOLED 45 mmGarmin · January 2025 · 1 y 8 mo

    Launched 20 months ago on a line that usually runs about 35 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Instinct 3 Solar 50 mmGarmin · January 2025 · 1 y 8 mo

    Launched 20 months ago on a line that usually runs about 35 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Race 2Suunto · September 2025 · 1 y

    Launched 12 months ago on a line that usually runs about 23 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Vertical 2Suunto · September 2025 · 1 y

    Launched 12 months ago on a line that usually runs about 28 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Apex 4 46 mmCoros · October 2025 · 11 mo

    Launched 11 months ago on a line that usually runs about 36 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Pace 4Coros · November 2025 · 10 mo

    Launched 10 months ago on a line that usually runs about 27 months. Safe to buy now.

  • Cheetah 2 ProAmazfit · April 2026 · 5 mo

    Launched 5 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Forerunner 70Garmin · May 2026 · 4 mo

    Launched 4 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Forerunner 170Garmin · May 2026 · 4 mo

    Launched 4 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Galaxy Watch Ultra 2Samsung · July 2026 · 2 mo

    Launched 2 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Fenix 9 47 mmGarmin · August 2026 · 1 mo

    Launched 1 month ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Fenix 9 Pro Solar 47 mmGarmin · August 2026 · 1 mo

    Launched 1 month ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Run 2Suunto · September 2026 · 0 mo

    Launched 0 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Watch Ultra 4Apple · September 2026 · 0 mo

    Launched 0 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

  • Watch Series 12Apple · September 2026 · 0 mo

    Launched 0 months ago. This is as new as it gets; nothing to wait for.

Every watch, oldest first

WatchLaunchedAgeLine refreshStatusSuccessor / expected
Forerunner 55GarminJune 20215 y 3 mo~36 moReplaced Garmin Forerunner 70, May 2026
Pacer ProPolarApril 20224 y 5 mo~36 moDue a refresh unannounced
Apex 2 ProCorosOctober 20223 y 11 mo~36 moReplaced Coros Apex 4, October 2025
Forerunner 265GarminMarch 20233 y 6 mo~26 moReplaced Garmin Forerunner 570, May 2025
Forerunner 965GarminMarch 20233 y 6 mo~26 moReplaced Garmin Forerunner 970, May 2025
VerticalSuuntoMay 20233 y 4 mo~28 moReplaced Suunto Vertical 2, September 2025
Cheetah ProAmazfitJune 20233 y 3 mo~34 moReplaced Amazfit Cheetah 2 Pro, April 2026
Pace 3CorosAugust 20233 y 1 mo~27 moReplaced Coros Pace 4, November 2025
RaceSuuntoOctober 20232 y 11 mo~23 moReplaced Suunto Race 2, September 2025
Forerunner 165GarminFebruary 20242 y 7 mo~27 moReplaced Garmin Forerunner 170, May 2026
Grit X2 ProPolarMarch 20242 y 6 mo~29 moDue a refresh —
Vertix 2SCorosApril 20242 y 5 mo~33 moDue a refresh unannounced
Race SSuuntoJune 20242 y 3 mo~24 moDue a refresh unannounced
Galaxy Watch UltraSamsungJuly 20242 y 2 mo~24 moReplaced Samsung Galaxy Watch Ultra 2, July 2026
Fenix 8 AMOLED 47 mmGarminAugust 20242 y 1 mo~24 moReplaced Garmin Fenix 9, August 2026
Fenix 8 Solar 47 mmGarminAugust 20242 y 1 mo~24 moReplaced Garmin Fenix 9 Pro, August 2026
Enduro 3GarminAugust 20242 y 1 mo~24 moDue a refresh late 2026
T-Rex 3AmazfitSeptember 20242 y~24 moDue a refresh 2026
Pace ProCorosOctober 20241 y 11 mo~27 moLater in its life —
Vantage M3PolarOctober 20241 y 11 mo~42 moCurrent —
Instinct 3 AMOLED 45 mmGarminJanuary 20251 y 8 mo~35 moCurrent —
Instinct 3 Solar 50 mmGarminJanuary 20251 y 8 mo~35 moCurrent —
Forerunner 570GarminMay 20251 y 4 mo~26 moDue a refresh 2027
Forerunner 970GarminMay 20251 y 4 mo~26 moDue a refresh 2027
RunSuuntoMay 20251 y 4 mo~16 moReplaced Suunto Run 2, September 2026
Race 2SuuntoSeptember 20251 y~23 moCurrent —
Vertical 2SuuntoSeptember 20251 y~28 moCurrent —
Watch Ultra 3AppleSeptember 20251 y~12 moReplaced Apple Watch Ultra 4, September 2026
Watch Series 11AppleSeptember 20251 y~12 moReplaced Apple Watch Series 12, September 2026
Apex 4 46 mmCorosOctober 202511 mo~36 moCurrent —
Pace 4CorosNovember 202510 mo~27 moCurrent —
Cheetah 2 ProAmazfitApril 20265 mo~34 moJust launched —
Forerunner 70GarminMay 20264 mo~36 moJust launched —
Forerunner 170GarminMay 20264 mo~27 moJust launched —
Galaxy Watch Ultra 2SamsungJuly 20262 mo~24 moJust launched —
Fenix 9 47 mmGarminAugust 20261 mo~24 moJust launched —
Fenix 9 Pro Solar 47 mmGarminAugust 20261 mo~24 moJust launched —
Run 2SuuntoSeptember 20260 mo~16 moJust launched —
Watch Ultra 4AppleSeptember 20260 mo~12 moJust launched —
Watch Series 12AppleSeptember 20260 mo~12 moJust launched —

How this is worked out

  • Launched is the month the maker announced the watch, from its press release. Availability is usually the same month or the next.
  • Replaced means the maker sells a watch it positions as this one’s successor in the same line and tier — not merely a newer, dearer model above it.
  • Line refresh is the gap between the last two generations of that line. It is a pattern, not a promise: Apple is yearly, Polar is not.
  • Due means past that gap, or with a public teaser or a credible leak behind it — and the entry says which. Later in its life means past three quarters of it.
  • Ages are measured from 2026-09-15, the date this table was last checked, not from today’s clock — so the page always says what it knew and when.

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